GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #2136 overall

Tyson Yaremko

Left wing, 21.1 years old, Red Deer Rebels (WHL)

Odds he's an NHL regular

2%

Long shot

Scouting report

Tyson Yaremko is a 21-year-old left wing with Red Deer Rebels in the WHL, undrafted. He has 9 goals and 6 assists in 33 games, 0.45 a game, which works out to about 5 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is goals. His team scores 2.7 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. And the five best scorers around him average only 0.65 points a game. He's producing without much support, and the model bumps him up for it. At 21.1 he is old for the league, so the model expects him to outscore younger players and gives less credit for it.

His most likely outcome is a long shot, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 2% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner<1%
  3. Middle-sixer<1%
  4. Fourth-liner2%
  5. Tweener2%
  6. AHLer7%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.45 P/GP

    9 G, 6 A in 33 games, WHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    5 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +30%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    21.1

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Passed over, read as a pick after the last one

  6. 6If he makes it

    31 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
Last seasonRed Deer RebelsWHL3396150.45