GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #660 overall

Vadim Moroz

Forward, 22.8 years old, Tucson Roadrunners (AHL), 6′2″ 183 lb, shoots right

Odds he's an NHL regular

19%

AHLer

Scouting report

Vadim Moroz is a 22-year-old forward with Tucson Roadrunners in the AHL. He has 3 goals and 1 assist in 6 games, 0.67 a game, which works out to about 21 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-2 and 183 pounds.

His most likely outcome is an AHLer, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 19% chance of becoming an NHL regular. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner2%
  3. Middle-sixer4%
  4. Fourth-liner19%
  5. Tweener21%
  6. AHLer (most likely)70%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.67 P/GP

    3 G, 1 A in 6 games, AHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    21 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +10%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    22.8

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Passed over, read as a pick after the last one

  6. 6If he makes it

    33 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonTucson RoadrunnersAHL63140.67