Prospect board, #510 overall
Viktor Neuchev
Right wing, 22.9 years old, Chicago Wolves (AHL), 5′11″ 180 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
24%
Scouting report
Viktor Neuchev is a 22-year-old right wing with Chicago Wolves in the AHL. He has 0 goals and 2 assists in 6 games, 0.33 a game, which works out to about 11 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 1.7 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. And the five best scorers around him average only 0.40 points a game. Scoring without much help counts for more, so the model nudges him up. Listed at 5-foot-11 and 180 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 24% chance of becoming an NHL regular. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner1%
- Middle-sixer4%
- Fourth-liner24%
- Tweener31%
- AHLer (most likely)93%
How he got there
1His line
0.33 P/GP
0 G, 2 A in 6 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
11 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+44%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
22.9
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
29 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Chicago Wolves | AHL | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.33 |
| Last season | Chicago Wolves | AHL | 64 | 10 | 15 | 25 | 0.39 |