Prospect board, #772 overall
Viliam Kmec
Defence, 22.7 years old, Henderson Silver Knights (AHL), 6′2″ 218 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
11%
Scouting report
Viliam Kmec is a 22-year-old defenceman with Henderson Silver Knights in the AHL. He has 0 goals and 3 assists in 5 games, 0.60 a game, which works out to about 19 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-2 and 218 pounds.
His most likely outcome is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him an 11% chance of becoming an NHL regular. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- Top-pair<1%
- Second-pair<1%
- Third-pair11%
- Tweener22%
- AHLer (most likely)86%
How he got there
1His line
0.60 P/GP
0 G, 3 A in 5 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
19 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+6%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
22.7
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
20 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Henderson Silver Knights | AHL | 5 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0.60 |
| Last season | Henderson Silver Knights | AHL | 65 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 0.25 |