GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #855 overall

Vilmer Alriksson

Left wing, 21.6 years old, Abbotsford Canucks (AHL), 6′6″ 234 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

13%

AHLer

Scouting report

Vilmer Alriksson is a 21-year-old left wing with Abbotsford Canucks in the AHL. He has 2 goals and 1 assist in 6 games, 0.50 a game, which works out to about 16 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-6 and 234 pounds.

The model's median outcome for him is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 13% chance of becoming an NHL regular. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner<1%
  3. Middle-sixer<1%
  4. Fourth-liner13%
  5. Tweener20%
  6. AHLer (most likely)64%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.50 P/GP

    2 G, 1 A in 6 games, AHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    16 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    −7%

    Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster

  4. 4Age

    21.6

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Passed over, read as a pick after the last one

  6. 6If he makes it

    27 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonAbbotsford CanucksAHL62130.50
Last seasonAbbotsford CanucksAHL436390.21