Prospect board, #319 overall
William Dubé
Defence, 17.4 years old, Chicoutimi Saguenéens (QMJHL), 6′1″ 181 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
28%
Scouting report
William Dubé is a 17-year-old defenceman with Chicoutimi Saguenéens in the QMJHL. He has 3 goals and 7 assists in 9 games, 1.11 a game, which works out to about 10 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is setting up other people. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 181 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 28% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 8% of a top-pair career and 4% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 33 points a season at his best. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite4%
- Top-pair8%
- Second-pair16%
- Third-pair28%
- Tweener38%
- AHLer47%
How he got there
1His line
1.11 P/GP
3 G, 7 A in 9 games, QMJHL
2League exchange rate
10 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+1%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
17.4
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers
6If he makes it
33 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Chicoutimi Saguenéens | QMJHL | 9 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 1.11 |