William Dumont

Left wing, 20.0 years old, Drummondville Voltigeurs (QMJHL), 5′10″ 171 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

Long shot

Scouting report

William Dumont is a 20-year-old left wing with Drummondville Voltigeurs in the QMJHL, undrafted. He has 1 goal and 1 assist in 11 games, 0.18 a game, which works out to about 2 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate.

That is down from 0.52 a game last season, and the projection drops with it. His team scores 2.5 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. And the five best scorers around him average only 0.64 points a game. He's producing without much support, and the model bumps him up for it. At 20.0 he is old for the league, so the model expects him to outscore younger players and gives less credit for it. Listed at 5-foot-10 and 171 pounds. The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 2% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

Elite<1%
First-liner<1%
Middle-sixer1%
Fourth-liner2%
Tweener2%
AHLer17%

How he got there

1His line
0.18 P/GP
1 G, 1 A in 11 games, QMJHL
2League exchange rate
2 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+38%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
20.0
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
40 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

Season	Team	League	GP	G	A	P	P/GP
This season	Drummondville Voltigeurs	QMJHL	11	1	1	2	0.18
Last season	Drummondville Voltigeurs	QMJHL	64	17	16	33	0.52