Prospect board, #975 overall
William Nicholl
Centre, 20.3 years old, Bakersfield Condors (AHL), 6′0″ 183 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
12%
Scouting report
William Nicholl is a 20-year-old centre with Bakersfield Condors in the AHL. He has 0 goals and 2 assists in 5 games, 0.40 a game, which works out to about 13 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate.
At 20.3 he is among the youngest regulars in the league, and age matters more than any single stat in these projections. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 183 pounds. His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 12% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner1%
- Middle-sixer4%
- Fourth-liner12%
- Tweener19%
- AHLer35%
How he got there
1His line
0.40 P/GP
0 G, 2 A in 5 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
13 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
No change
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
20.3
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
33 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Bakersfield Condors | AHL | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.40 |
| Last season | London Knights | OHL | 32 | 15 | 11 | 26 | 0.81 |
| Last season | Bakersfield Condors | AHL | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.20 |