GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #642 overall

Will Mullins

Right wing, 17.3 years old, Niagara IceDogs (OHL), 6′0″ 179 lb, shoots right

Odds he's an NHL regular

18%

Long shot

Scouting report

Will Mullins is a 17-year-old right wing with Niagara IceDogs in the OHL. He has 0 goals and 1 assist in 10 games, 0.10 a game, which works out to about 1 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 179 pounds.

The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him an 18% chance of becoming an NHL regular and 3% of a first-line career. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite1%
  2. First-liner3%
  3. Middle-sixer8%
  4. Fourth-liner18%
  5. Tweener29%
  6. AHLer42%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.10 P/GP

    0 G, 1 A in 10 games, OHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    1 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +5%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    17.3

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    39 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonNiagara IceDogsOHL100110.10
Last seasonNiagara IceDogsOHL50000.00