GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #1834 overall

Wyatt Kennedy

Defence, 21.3 years old, Windsor Spitfires (OHL), 6′5″ 204 lb, shoots right

Odds he's an NHL regular

4%

Long shot

Scouting report

Wyatt Kennedy is a 21-year-old defenceman with Windsor Spitfires in the OHL, undrafted. He has 3 goals and 23 assists in 66 games, 0.39 a game, which works out to about 5 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is setting up other people. His team scores 4.2 a game, one of the better offences around. Some of those points come from the company he keeps, and the model discounts them. At 21.3 he is old for the league, so the model expects him to outscore younger players and gives less credit for it. Listed at 6-foot-5 and 204 pounds.

His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 4% chance of becoming an NHL regular. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. Top-pair<1%
  3. Second-pair<1%
  4. Third-pair4%
  5. Tweener7%
  6. AHLer7%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.39 P/GP

    3 G, 23 A in 66 games, OHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    5 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    −15%

    Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster

  4. 4Age

    21.3

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Passed over, read as a pick after the last one

  6. 6If he makes it

    20 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
Last seasonWindsor SpitfiresOHL66323260.39