Prospect board, #1738 overall
Xavier Lebel
Left wing, 19.5 years old, Victoriaville Tigres (QMJHL), 6′0″ 182 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
2%
Scouting report
Xavier Lebel is a 19-year-old left wing with Victoriaville Tigres in the QMJHL, undrafted. He has 4 goals and 6 assists in 11 games, 0.91 a game, which works out to about 8 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. That is up from 0.51 a game last season. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 182 pounds.
His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 2% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner<1%
- Middle-sixer2%
- Fourth-liner2%
- Tweener3%
- AHLer19%
How he got there
1His line
0.91 P/GP
4 G, 6 A in 11 games, QMJHL
2League exchange rate
8 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−7%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
19.5
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
45 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Victoriaville Tigres | QMJHL | 11 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 0.91 |
| Last season | Québec Remparts | QMJHL | 63 | 15 | 17 | 32 | 0.51 |