Prospect board, #1023 overall
Xavier Tessier
Centre, 18.4 years old, Flint Firebirds (OHL), 6′1″ 205 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
9%
Scouting report
Xavier Tessier is an 18-year-old centre with Flint Firebirds in the OHL. He has 4 goals and 4 assists in 9 games, 0.89 a game, which works out to about 10 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is goals. That is up from 0.22 a game last season. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 205 pounds.
His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 9% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner1%
- Middle-sixer3%
- Fourth-liner9%
- Tweener20%
- AHLer33%
How he got there
1His line
0.89 P/GP
4 G, 4 A in 9 games, OHL
2League exchange rate
11 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−4%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
18.4
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers
6If he makes it
34 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Flint Firebirds | OHL | 9 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 0.89 |
| Last season | Flint Firebirds | OHL | 37 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 0.22 |