Prospect board, #286 overall
Xavier Villeneuve
Defence, 19.0 years old, Blainville-Boisbriand Armada (QMJHL), 5′11″ 157 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
28%
Scouting report
Xavier Villeneuve is an 18-year-old defenceman with Blainville-Boisbriand Armada in the QMJHL. He has 6 goals and 32 assists in 37 games, 1.03 a game, which works out to about 10 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is setting up other people. His team scores 4.2 a game, one of the better offences around. Linemates like that pad a stat line, so the model takes some of his points back. Listed at 5-foot-11 and 157 pounds.
His most likely outcome is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 28% chance of becoming an NHL regular and 9% of a top-pair career. If he makes it, figure about 35 points a season at his best. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite1%
- Top-pair9%
- Second-pair22%
- Third-pair28%
- Tweener35%
- AHLer (most likely)59%
How he got there
1His line
1.03 P/GP
6 G, 32 A in 37 games, QMJHL
2League exchange rate
10 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−15%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
19.0
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers
6If he makes it
35 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last season | Blainville-Boisbriand Armada | QMJHL | 37 | 6 | 32 | 38 | 1.03 |