GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #2116 overall

Zachary Hachey

Defence, 19.5 years old, Baie-Comeau Drakkar (QMJHL), 6′3″ 210 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

1%

Long shot

Scouting report

Zachary Hachey is a 19-year-old defenceman with Baie-Comeau Drakkar in the QMJHL, undrafted. He has 2 goals and 0 assists in 11 games, 0.18 a game, which works out to about 2 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 2.0 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. And the five best scorers around him average only 0.60 points a game. Scoring without much help counts for more, so the model nudges him up. Listed at 6-foot-3 and 210 pounds.

The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 1% chance of becoming an NHL regular. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. Top-pair<1%
  3. Second-pair<1%
  4. Third-pair1%
  5. Tweener1%
  6. AHLer12%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.18 P/GP

    2 G, 0 A in 11 games, QMJHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    2 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +44%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    19.5

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Passed over, read as a pick after the last one

  6. 6If he makes it

    25 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonBaie-Comeau DrakkarQMJHL112020.18
Last seasonBaie-Comeau DrakkarQMJHL583250.09