Prospect board, #128 overall
Zachary Lansard
Right wing, 18.1 years old, Regina Pats (WHL)
Odds he's an NHL regular
35%
Scouting report
Zachary Lansard is an 18-year-old right wing with Regina Pats in the WHL. He has 3 goals and 4 assists in 8 games, 0.88 a game, which works out to about 10 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate.
His most likely outcome is a tweener, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 35% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 15% of a first-line career and 12% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 55 points a season at his best. His odds move most with next season's line, so a big jump would matter more than a repeat.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite12%
- First-liner15%
- Middle-sixer25%
- Fourth-liner35%
- Tweener (most likely)54%
- AHLer74%
How he got there
1His line
0.88 P/GP
3 G, 4 A in 8 games, WHL
2League exchange rate
10 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−11%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
18.1
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers
6If he makes it
55 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Regina Pats | WHL | 8 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 0.88 |
| Last season | Regina Pats | WHL | 68 | 24 | 32 | 56 | 0.82 |