GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #250 overall

Zach L’Heureux

Left wing, 23.3 years old, Milwaukee Admirals (AHL), 6′0″ 195 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

34%

Tweener

Scouting report

Zach L’Heureux is a 23-year-old left wing with Milwaukee Admirals in the AHL. He has 14 goals and 14 assists in 30 games, 0.93 a game, which works out to about 30 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is goals. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 195 pounds.

His most likely outcome is a tweener, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 34% chance of becoming an NHL regular and 5% of a first-line career. If he makes it, figure about 33 points a season at his best. His odds move most with next season's line, so a big jump would matter more than a repeat.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite1%
  2. First-liner5%
  3. Middle-sixer8%
  4. Fourth-liner34%
  5. Tweener (most likely)62%
  6. AHLer91%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.93 P/GP

    14 G, 14 A in 30 games, AHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    30 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +2%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    23.3

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Passed over, read as a pick after the last one

  6. 6If he makes it

    33 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
Last seasonMilwaukee AdmiralsAHL301414280.93