GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #862 overall

Zach Pantelakis

Left wing, 18.9 years old, Swift Current Broncos (WHL)

Odds he's an NHL regular

10%

AHLer

Scouting report

Zach Pantelakis is an 18-year-old left wing with Swift Current Broncos in the WHL. He has 5 goals and 2 assists in 9 games, 0.78 a game, which works out to about 9 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. That is up from 0.43 a game last season. His team scores 3.1 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. And the five best scorers around him average only 0.62 points a game. Scoring without much help counts for more, so the model nudges him up.

His most likely outcome is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 10% chance of becoming an NHL regular. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner1%
  3. Middle-sixer6%
  4. Fourth-liner10%
  5. Tweener17%
  6. AHLer (most likely)51%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.78 P/GP

    5 G, 2 A in 9 games, WHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    9 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +22%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    18.9

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    40 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonSwift Current BroncosWHL95270.78
Last seasonSwift Current BroncosWHL601214260.43