Prospect board, #347 overall
Sean Behrens
Defence, 23.5 years old, Colorado Eagles (AHL), 5′10″ 177 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
29%
Scouting report
Sean Behrens is a 23-year-old defenceman with Colorado Eagles in the AHL, a Colorado Avalanche second-round pick, 61 overall in 2021. He has 1 goal and 1 assist in 6 games, 0.33 a game, which works out to about 11 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 5-foot-10 and 177 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 29% chance of becoming an NHL regular and 4% of a top-pair career. If he makes it, figure about 22 points a season at his best. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- Top-pair4%
- Second-pair4%
- Third-pair29%
- Tweener49%
- AHLer (most likely)95%+
How he got there
1His line
0.33 P/GP
1 G, 1 A in 6 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
11 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+8%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
23.5
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#61
2021, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
22 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Colorado Eagles | AHL | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.33 |
| Last season | Colorado Eagles | AHL | 55 | 5 | 18 | 23 | 0.42 |