Prospect board, #205 overall
Corson Ceulemans
Defence, 23.4 years old, Cleveland Monsters (AHL), 6′2″ 198 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
43%
Scouting report
Corson Ceulemans is a 23-year-old defenceman with Cleveland Monsters in the AHL, a Columbus Blue Jackets first-round pick, 25 overall in 2021. He has 0 goals and 3 assists in 6 games, 0.50 a game, which works out to about 16 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 4.0 a game, one of the better offences around. Linemates like that pad a stat line, so the model takes some of his points back. Listed at 6-foot-2 and 198 pounds.
His most likely outcome is a tweener, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 43% chance of becoming an NHL regular and 4% of a top-pair career. If he makes it, figure about 23 points a season at his best. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. His odds move most with next season's line, so a big jump would matter more than a repeat.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- Top-pair4%
- Second-pair9%
- Third-pair43%
- Tweener (most likely)68%
- AHLer95%+
How he got there
1His line
0.50 P/GP
0 G, 3 A in 6 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
16 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−14%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
23.4
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#25
2021, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
23 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Cleveland Monsters | AHL | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0.50 |
| Last season | Cleveland Monsters | AHL | 64 | 8 | 16 | 24 | 0.38 |