Prospect board, #373 overall
Jack Peart
Defence, 23.3 years old, Iowa Wild (AHL), 5′11″ 186 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
35%
Scouting report
Jack Peart is a 23-year-old defenceman with Iowa Wild in the AHL, a Minnesota Wild second-round pick, 54 overall in 2021. He has 0 goals and 3 assists in 7 games, 0.43 a game, which works out to about 14 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 2.3 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. And the five best scorers around him average only 0.68 points a game. He's producing without much support, and the model bumps him up for it. Listed at 5-foot-11 and 186 pounds.
His most likely outcome is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 35% chance of becoming an NHL regular. If he makes it, figure about 19 points a season at his best. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- Top-pair1%
- Second-pair2%
- Third-pair35%
- Tweener44%
- AHLer (most likely)95%+
How he got there
1His line
0.43 P/GP
0 G, 3 A in 7 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
14 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+24%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
23.3
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#54
2021, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
19 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Iowa Wild | AHL | 7 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0.43 |
| Last season | Iowa Wild | AHL | 61 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 0.25 |