Prospect board, #178 overall
Ryan Ufko
Defence, 23.4 years old, Milwaukee Admirals (AHL), 6′0″ 174 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
48%
Scouting report
Ryan Ufko is a 23-year-old defenceman with Milwaukee Admirals in the AHL, a Nashville Predators fourth-round pick, 115 overall in 2021. He has 0 goals and 1 assist in 4 games, 0.25 a game, which works out to about 8 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 2.5 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. Scoring without much help counts for more, so the model nudges him up. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 174 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is a tweener, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 48% chance of becoming an NHL regular and 3% of a top-pair career. If he makes it, figure about 23 points a season at his best. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. His odds move most with next season's line, so a big jump would matter more than a repeat.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite2%
- Top-pair3%
- Second-pair11%
- Third-pair48%
- Tweener (most likely)72%
- AHLer95%+
How he got there
1His line
0.25 P/GP
0 G, 1 A in 4 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
8 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+10%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
23.4
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#115
2021, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
23 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Milwaukee Admirals | AHL | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.25 |
| Last season | Milwaukee Admirals | AHL | 52 | 11 | 33 | 44 | 0.85 |