Prospect board, #464 overall
Jakub Brabenec
Centre, 23.0 years old, HC Kometa Brno (CZECHIA), 6′1″ 190 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
27%
Scouting report
Jakub Brabenec is a 23-year-old centre with HC Kometa Brno in the CZECHIA, a Vegas Golden Knights fourth-round pick, 102 overall in 2021. He has 1 goal and 1 assist in 10 games, 0.20 a game, which works out to about 7 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate.
That is down from 0.50 a game last season, and the projection drops with it. At 23.0 he is old for the league, so the model expects him to outscore younger players and gives less credit for it. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 190 pounds. The model's median outcome for him is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 27% chance of becoming an NHL regular. If he makes it, figure about 30 points a season at his best. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner1%
- Middle-sixer5%
- Fourth-liner27%
- Tweener38%
- AHLer (most likely)81%
How he got there
1His line
0.20 P/GP
1 G, 1 A in 10 games, CZECHIA
2League exchange rate
7 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+12%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
23.0
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#102
2021, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
30 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | HC Kometa Brno | CZECHIA | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.20 |
| Last season | Henderson Silver Knights | AHL | 62 | 12 | 19 | 31 | 0.50 |