Prospect board, #730 overall
James Malatesta
Left wing, 23.3 years old, Cleveland Monsters (AHL), 5′9″ 193 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
11%
Scouting report
James Malatesta is a 23-year-old left wing with Cleveland Monsters in the AHL, a Columbus Blue Jackets fifth-round pick, 133 overall in 2021. He has 1 goal and 2 assists in 6 games, 0.50 a game, which works out to about 16 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 4.0 a game, one of the better offences around. Some of those points come from the company he keeps, and the model discounts them. Listed at 5-foot-9 and 193 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him an 11% chance of becoming an NHL regular. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner<1%
- Middle-sixer1%
- Fourth-liner11%
- Tweener24%
- AHLer (most likely)88%
How he got there
1His line
0.50 P/GP
1 G, 2 A in 6 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
16 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−13%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
23.3
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#133
2021, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
29 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Cleveland Monsters | AHL | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0.50 |
| Last season | Cleveland Monsters | AHL | 57 | 10 | 8 | 18 | 0.32 |