GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #652 overall

Vladislav Lukashevich

Defence, 23.3 years old, Miami Univ. (Ohio) (NCAA), 6′2″ 167 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

24%

AHLer

Scouting report

Vladislav Lukashevich is a 23-year-old defenceman with Miami Univ. (Ohio) in the NCAA, a Florida Panthers fourth-round pick, 120 overall in 2021. He has 2 goals and 19 assists in 33 games, 0.64 a game, which works out to about 10 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is setting up other people. At 23.3 he is old for the league, so the model expects him to outscore younger players and gives less credit for it. Listed at 6-foot-2 and 167 pounds.

His most likely outcome is an AHLer, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 24% chance of becoming an NHL regular. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. Top-pair<1%
  3. Second-pair2%
  4. Third-pair24%
  5. Tweener33%
  6. AHLer (most likely)54%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.64 P/GP

    2 G, 19 A in 33 games, NCAA

  2. 2League exchange rate

    10 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +9%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    23.3

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    #120

    2021, read alongside his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    20 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
Last seasonMiami Univ. (Ohio)NCAA33219210.64