Prospect board, #1523 overall
Jack Harvey
Left wing, 23.5 years old, Boston Univ. (NCAA), 5′9″ 170 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
6%
Scouting report
Jack Harvey is a 23-year-old left wing with Boston Univ. in the NCAA, a Tampa Bay Lightning seventh-round pick, 193 overall in 2023. He has 0 goals and 2 assists in 4 games, 0.50 a game, which works out to about 8 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. There are 6 other NHL draft picks on his roster. Linemates like that pad a stat line, so the model takes some of his points back. At 23.5 he is old for the league, so the model expects him to outscore younger players and gives less credit for it. Listed at 5-foot-9 and 170 pounds.
His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 6% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner<1%
- Middle-sixer<1%
- Fourth-liner6%
- Tweener7%
- AHLer24%
How he got there
1His line
0.50 P/GP
0 G, 2 A in 4 games, NCAA
2League exchange rate
8 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−10%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
23.5
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#193
2023, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
29 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Boston Univ. | NCAA | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.50 |
| Last season | Boston Univ. | NCAA | 36 | 13 | 8 | 21 | 0.58 |