Brody Lamb

Right wing, 23.0 years old, Hartford Wolf Pack (AHL), 6′1″ 192 lb, shoots right

Odds he's an NHL regular

20%

AHLer

Scouting report

Brody Lamb is a 23-year-old right wing with Hartford Wolf Pack in the AHL, a New York Rangers fourth-round pick, 104 overall in 2021. He has 0 goals and 1 assist in 8 games, 0.12 a game, which works out to about 4 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate.

That is down from 0.78 a game last season, and the projection drops with it. His team scores 2.1 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. And the five best scorers around him average only 0.69 points a game. He's producing without much support, and the model bumps him up for it. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 192 pounds. His most likely outcome is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 20% chance of becoming an NHL regular. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

Elite<1%
First-liner1%
Middle-sixer10%
Fourth-liner20%
Tweener42%
AHLer (most likely)70%

How he got there

1His line
0.13 P/GP
0 G, 1 A in 8 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
4 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+28%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
23.0
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#104
2021, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
37 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

Season	Team	League	GP	G	A	P	P/GP
This season	Hartford Wolf Pack	AHL	8	0	1	1	0.13
Last season	Hartford Wolf Pack	AHL	15	4	5	9	0.60
Last season	Univ. of Minnesota	NCAA	35	14	16	30	0.86