Prospect board, #355 overall
Shane Lachance
Left wing, 23.0 years old, Utica Comets (AHL), 6′4″ 195 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
32%
Scouting report
Shane Lachance is a 23-year-old left wing with Utica Comets in the AHL, a New Jersey Devils sixth-round pick, 186 overall in 2021. He has 1 goal and 0 assists in 4 games, 0.25 a game, which works out to about 8 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 2.0 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. Scoring without much help counts for more, so the model nudges him up. Listed at 6-foot-4 and 195 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 32% chance of becoming an NHL regular. If he makes it, figure about 31 points a season at his best. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner2%
- Middle-sixer8%
- Fourth-liner32%
- Tweener42%
- AHLer (most likely)94%
How he got there
1His line
0.25 P/GP
1 G, 0 A in 4 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
8 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+25%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
23.0
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#186
2021, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
31 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Utica Comets | AHL | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.25 |
| Last season | Utica Comets | AHL | 62 | 10 | 15 | 25 | 0.40 |