Jon-Randall Avon

Centre, 23.2 years old, Coachella Valley Firebirds (AHL), 6′0″ 194 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

24%

AHLer

Scouting report

Jon-Randall Avon is a 23-year-old centre with Coachella Valley Firebirds in the AHL, on the Seattle Kraken prospect list. He has 2 goals and 4 assists in 6 games, 1.00 a game, which works out to about 32 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 194 pounds.

His most likely outcome is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 24% chance of becoming an NHL regular. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

Elite<1%
First-liner1%
Middle-sixer3%
Fourth-liner24%
Tweener36%
AHLer (most likely)84%

How he got there

1His line
1.00 P/GP
2 G, 4 A in 6 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
32 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
No change
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
23.2
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
29 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

Season	Team	League	GP	G	A	P	P/GP
This season	Coachella Valley Firebirds	AHL	6	2	4	6	1.00
Last season	Coachella Valley Firebirds	AHL	45	10	14	24	0.53