GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #954 overall

Mikael Diotte

Defence, 23.4 years old, Utica Comets (AHL), 6′3″ 205 lb, shoots right

Odds he's an NHL regular

8%

AHLer

Scouting report

Mikael Diotte is a 23-year-old defenceman with Utica Comets in the AHL, on the New Jersey Devils prospect list. He has 0 goals and 0 assists in 3 games, 0.00 a game, which works out to about 0 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 2.0 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. He's producing without much support, and the model bumps him up for it. Listed at 6-foot-3 and 205 pounds.

His most likely outcome is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him an 8% chance of becoming an NHL regular. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. Top-pair<1%
  3. Second-pair<1%
  4. Third-pair8%
  5. Tweener13%
  6. AHLer (most likely)81%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.00 P/GP

    0 G, 0 A in 3 games, AHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    0 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +23%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    23.4

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Passed over, read as a pick after the last one

  6. 6If he makes it

    20 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonUtica CometsAHL30000.00
Last seasonUtica CometsAHL531780.15