GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #60 overall

Filip Bystedt

Centre, 22.6 years old, San Jose Barracuda (AHL), 6′3″ 210 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

63%

Middle-sixer

Scouting report

Filip Bystedt is a 22-year-old centre with San Jose Barracuda in the AHL, a San Jose Sharks first-round pick, 27 overall in 2022. He has 4 goals and 2 assists in 6 games, 1.00 a game, which works out to about 32 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-3 and 210 pounds.

His most likely outcome is a middle-sixer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 63% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 15% of a first-line career and 4% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 47 points a season at his best. Moving up a tier would take scoring well above his league's top-line rate.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite4%
  2. First-liner15%
  3. Middle-sixer (most likely)51%
  4. Fourth-liner63%
  5. Tweener88%
  6. AHLer95%+

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    1.00 P/GP

    4 G, 2 A in 6 games, AHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    32 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +8%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    22.6

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    #27

    2022, read alongside his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    47 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonSan Jose BarracudaAHL64261.00
Last seasonSan Jose BarracudaAHL652238600.92