Prospect board, #1294 overall
Kirill Dolzhenkov
Right wing, 22.4 years old, Avangard Omsk (KHL), 6′6″ 234 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
5%
Scouting report
Kirill Dolzhenkov is a 22-year-old right wing with Avangard Omsk in the KHL, a Columbus Blue Jackets fourth-round pick, 109 overall in 2022. He has 1 goal and 0 assists in 15 games, 0.07 a game, which works out to about 4 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-6 and 234 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 5% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner2%
- Middle-sixer3%
- Fourth-liner5%
- Tweener13%
- AHLer20%
How he got there
1His line
0.07 P/GP
1 G, 0 A in 15 games, KHL
2League exchange rate
4 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−3%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
22.4
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#109
2022, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
47 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Avangard Omsk | KHL | 15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 |
| Last season | CSKA Moskva | KHL | 38 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 0.26 |