Prospect board, #452 overall
Jorian Donovan
Defence, 22.4 years old, Belleville Senators (AHL), 6′1″ 200 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
24%
Scouting report
Jorian Donovan is a 22-year-old defenceman with Belleville Senators in the AHL, a Ottawa Senators fifth-round pick, 136 overall in 2022. He has 0 goals and 0 assists in 5 games, 0.00 a game, which works out to about 0 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 200 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 24% chance of becoming an NHL regular. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- Top-pair1%
- Second-pair4%
- Third-pair24%
- Tweener41%
- AHLer (most likely)92%
How he got there
1His line
0.00 P/GP
0 G, 0 A in 5 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
0 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
No change
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
22.4
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#136
2022, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
22 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Belleville Senators | AHL | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Last season | Belleville Senators | AHL | 61 | 4 | 17 | 21 | 0.34 |