GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #801 overall

Josh Filmon

Left wing, 22.5 years old, Utica Comets (AHL), 6′1″ 158 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

12%

AHLer

Scouting report

Josh Filmon is a 22-year-old left wing with Utica Comets in the AHL, a New Jersey Devils sixth-round pick, 166 overall in 2022. He has 4 goals and 2 assists in 31 games, 0.19 a game, which works out to about 6 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. The five best scorers around him average only 0.65 points a game. He's producing without much support, and the model bumps him up for it. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 158 pounds.

His most likely outcome is an AHLer, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 12% chance of becoming an NHL regular. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner<1%
  3. Middle-sixer<1%
  4. Fourth-liner12%
  5. Tweener24%
  6. AHLer (most likely)71%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.19 P/GP

    4 G, 2 A in 31 games, AHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    6 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +14%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    22.5

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    #166

    2022, read alongside his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    28 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
Last seasonUtica CometsAHL314260.19