GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #727 overall

Jordan Gustafson

Centre, 22.6 years old, Henderson Silver Knights (AHL), 5′11″ 194 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

16%

AHLer

Scouting report

Jordan Gustafson is a 22-year-old centre with Henderson Silver Knights in the AHL, a Vegas Golden Knights third-round pick, 79 overall in 2022. He has 0 goals and 0 assists in 2 games, 0.00 a game, which works out to about 0 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 5-foot-11 and 194 pounds.

His most likely outcome is an AHLer, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 16% chance of becoming an NHL regular. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner1%
  3. Middle-sixer4%
  4. Fourth-liner16%
  5. Tweener21%
  6. AHLer (most likely)66%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.00 P/GP

    0 G, 0 A in 2 games, AHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    0 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +4%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    22.6

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    #79

    2022, read alongside his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    32 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonHenderson Silver KnightsAHL20000.00
Last seasonHenderson Silver KnightsAHL60110.17