Prospect board, #63 overall
Joakim Kemell
Right wing, 22.4 years old, Milwaukee Admirals (AHL), 5′11″ 182 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
67%
Scouting report
Joakim Kemell is a 22-year-old right wing with Milwaukee Admirals in the AHL, a Nashville Predators first-round pick, 17 overall in 2022. He has 1 goal and 3 assists in 4 games, 1.00 a game, which works out to about 32 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 2.5 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. Scoring without much help counts for more, so the model nudges him up. Listed at 5-foot-11 and 182 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is a fourth-liner, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 67% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 14% of a first-line career and 6% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 45 points a season at his best. A fourth-line job tends to come from penalty killing and faceoffs more than from scoring.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite6%
- First-liner14%
- Middle-sixer46%
- Fourth-liner (most likely)67%
- Tweener87%
- AHLer95%+
How he got there
1His line
1.00 P/GP
1 G, 3 A in 4 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
32 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+16%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
22.4
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#17
2022, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
45 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Milwaukee Admirals | AHL | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1.00 |
| Last season | Milwaukee Admirals | AHL | 48 | 10 | 19 | 29 | 0.60 |