Prospect board, #134 overall
Cam Lund
Centre, 22.3 years old, San Jose Barracuda (AHL), 6′2″ 195 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
48%
Scouting report
Cam Lund is a 22-year-old centre with San Jose Barracuda in the AHL, a San Jose Sharks second-round pick, 34 overall in 2022. He has 9 goals and 16 assists in 37 games, 0.68 a game, which works out to about 22 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-2 and 195 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is a tweener, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 48% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 6% of a first-line career and 3% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 39 points a season at his best. His odds move most with next season's line, so a big jump would matter more than a repeat.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite3%
- First-liner6%
- Middle-sixer26%
- Fourth-liner48%
- Tweener (most likely)65%
- AHLer95%+
How he got there
1His line
0.68 P/GP
9 G, 16 A in 37 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
22 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−5%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
22.3
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#34
2022, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
39 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last season | San Jose Barracuda | AHL | 37 | 9 | 16 | 25 | 0.68 |