Prospect board, #389 overall
Bryce McConnell-Barker
Centre, 22.3 years old, Hartford Wolf Pack (AHL), 6′1″ 192 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
23%
Scouting report
Bryce McConnell-Barker is a 22-year-old centre with Hartford Wolf Pack in the AHL, a New York Rangers third-round pick, 97 overall in 2022. He has 1 goal and 0 assists in 5 games, 0.20 a game, which works out to about 6 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 2.1 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. And the five best scorers around him average only 0.69 points a game. He's producing without much support, and the model bumps him up for it. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 192 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 23% chance of becoming an NHL regular. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner2%
- Middle-sixer7%
- Fourth-liner23%
- Tweener44%
- AHLer (most likely)94%
How he got there
1His line
0.20 P/GP
1 G, 0 A in 5 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
6 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+32%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
22.3
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#97
2022, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
33 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Hartford Wolf Pack | AHL | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.20 |
| Last season | Hartford Wolf Pack | AHL | 69 | 14 | 11 | 25 | 0.36 |