Prospect board, #70 overall
Jani Nyman
Right wing, 22.1 years old, Coachella Valley Firebirds (AHL), 6′4″ 212 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
74%
Scouting report
Jani Nyman is a 22-year-old right wing with Coachella Valley Firebirds in the AHL, a Seattle Kraken second-round pick, 49 overall in 2022. He has 8 goals and 2 assists in 7 games, 1.43 a game, which works out to about 46 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is goals. His team scores 3.7 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. But the five best scorers around him average 1.13 points a game, well above the norm. The two roughly cancel out. Listed at 6-foot-4 and 212 pounds.
His most likely outcome is a fourth-liner, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 74% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 13% of a first-line career and 6% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 39 points a season at his best. A fourth-line job tends to come from penalty killing and faceoffs more than from scoring.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite6%
- First-liner13%
- Middle-sixer32%
- Fourth-liner (most likely)74%
- Tweener90%
- AHLer95%+
How he got there
1His line
1.43 P/GP
8 G, 2 A in 7 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
46 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
No change
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
22.1
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#49
2022, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
39 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Coachella Valley Firebirds | AHL | 7 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 1.43 |
| Last season | Coachella Valley Firebirds | AHL | 39 | 21 | 12 | 33 | 0.85 |