Prospect board, #1006 overall
Alexander Perevalov
Left wing, 22.4 years old, Metallurg Novokuznetsk (VHL), 6′0″ 191 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
8%
Scouting report
Alexander Perevalov is a 22-year-old left wing with Metallurg Novokuznetsk in the VHL, a Carolina Hurricanes third-round pick, 71 overall in 2022. He has 1 goal and 2 assists in 14 games, 0.21 a game, which works out to about 5 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate.
That is down from 0.59 a game last season, and the projection drops with it. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 191 pounds. His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him an 8% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite1%
- First-liner2%
- Middle-sixer6%
- Fourth-liner8%
- Tweener12%
- AHLer35%
How he got there
1His line
0.21 P/GP
1 G, 2 A in 14 games, VHL
2League exchange rate
5 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+3%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
22.4
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#71
2022, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
49 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Metallurg Novokuznetsk | VHL | 14 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0.21 |
| Last season | Metallurg Novokuznetsk | VHL | 58 | 20 | 14 | 34 | 0.59 |