GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #914 overall

Vinzenz Rohrer

Centre, 22.0 years old, EV Zug (NL), 5′11″ 173 lb, shoots right

Odds he's an NHL regular

10%

Long shot

Scouting report

Vinzenz Rohrer is a 22-year-old centre with EV Zug in the NL, a Montreal Canadiens third-round pick, 75 overall in 2022. He has 3 goals and 6 assists in 8 games, 1.12 a game, which works out to about 42 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. That is up from 0.33 a game last season. At 22.0 he is old for the league, so the model expects him to outscore younger players and gives less credit for it. Listed at 5-foot-11 and 173 pounds.

The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 10% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite1%
  2. First-liner2%
  3. Middle-sixer5%
  4. Fourth-liner10%
  5. Tweener15%
  6. AHLer39%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    1.13 P/GP

    3 G, 6 A in 8 games, NL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    42 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +5%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    22.0

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    #75

    2022, read alongside his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    43 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonEV ZugNL83691.13
Last seasonLaval RocketAHL11122.00
Last seasonZSC LionsNL4148120.29