Prospect board, #162 overall
Elias Salomonsson
Defence, 22.0 years old, Manitoba Moose (AHL), 6′0″ 172 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
50%
Scouting report
Elias Salomonsson is a 22-year-old defenceman with Manitoba Moose in the AHL, a Winnipeg Jets second-round pick, 55 overall in 2022. He has 0 goals and 0 assists in 1 games, 0.00 a game, which works out to about 0 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 4.8 a game, one of the better offences around. And the five best scorers around him average 1.23 points a game, well above the norm. Some of those points come from the company he keeps, and the model discounts them. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 172 pounds.
His most likely outcome is a third-pair defenceman, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 50% chance of becoming an NHL regular and 10% of a top-pair career. If he makes it, figure about 24 points a season at his best. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. A third-pair job tends to come down to defending more than points.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- Top-pair10%
- Second-pair11%
- Third-pair (most likely)50%
- Tweener67%
- AHLer91%
How he got there
1His line
0.00 P/GP
0 G, 0 A in 1 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
0 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−28%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
22.0
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#55
2022, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
24 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Manitoba Moose | AHL | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Last season | Manitoba Moose | AHL | 29 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 0.31 |