Prospect board, #222 overall
Matyas Sapovaliv
Centre, 22.6 years old, Henderson Silver Knights (AHL), 6′4″ 204 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
43%
Scouting report
Matyas Sapovaliv is a 22-year-old centre with Henderson Silver Knights in the AHL, a Vegas Golden Knights second-round pick, 48 overall in 2022. He has 2 goals and 2 assists in 5 games, 0.80 a game, which works out to about 26 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 2.8 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. He's producing without much support, and the model bumps him up for it. Listed at 6-foot-4 and 204 pounds.
His most likely outcome is a tweener, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 43% chance of becoming an NHL regular and 4% of a first-line career. If he makes it, figure about 31 points a season at his best. His odds move most with next season's line, so a big jump would matter more than a repeat.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite1%
- First-liner4%
- Middle-sixer8%
- Fourth-liner43%
- Tweener (most likely)66%
- AHLer95%+
How he got there
1His line
0.80 P/GP
2 G, 2 A in 5 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
26 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+16%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
22.6
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#48
2022, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
31 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Henderson Silver Knights | AHL | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0.80 |
| Last season | Henderson Silver Knights | AHL | 72 | 18 | 17 | 35 | 0.49 |