Prospect board, #208 overall
Alexander Suzdalev
Left wing, 22.5 years old, Hershey Bears (AHL), 6′2″ 172 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
38%
Scouting report
Alexander Suzdalev is a 22-year-old left wing with Hershey Bears in the AHL, a Washington Capitals third-round pick, 70 overall in 2022. He has 0 goals and 0 assists in 4 games, 0.00 a game, which works out to about 0 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-2 and 172 pounds.
His most likely outcome is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 38% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 6% of a first-line career and 4% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 40 points a season at his best. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite4%
- First-liner6%
- Middle-sixer18%
- Fourth-liner38%
- Tweener47%
- AHLer (most likely)92%
How he got there
1His line
0.00 P/GP
0 G, 0 A in 4 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
0 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−1%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
22.5
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#70
2022, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
40 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Hershey Bears | AHL | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Last season | Hershey Bears | AHL | 41 | 10 | 14 | 24 | 0.59 |