Prospect board, #382 overall
Mattias Havelid
Defence, 22.7 years old, San Jose Barracuda (AHL), 5′11″ 170 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
34%
Scouting report
Mattias Havelid is a 22-year-old defenceman with San Jose Barracuda in the AHL, a San Jose Sharks second-round pick, 45 overall in 2022. He has 0 goals and 0 assists in 5 games, 0.00 a game, which works out to about 0 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 5-foot-11 and 170 pounds.
His most likely outcome is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 34% chance of becoming an NHL regular. If he makes it, figure about 20 points a season at his best. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- Top-pair<1%
- Second-pair2%
- Third-pair34%
- Tweener48%
- AHLer (most likely)87%
How he got there
1His line
0.00 P/GP
0 G, 0 A in 5 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
0 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−5%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
22.7
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#45
2022, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
20 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | San Jose Barracuda | AHL | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Last season | San Jose Barracuda | AHL | 44 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 0.34 |