Prospect board, #327 overall
Samuel Savoie
Left wing, 22.5 years old, Rockford IceHogs (AHL), 5′10″ 189 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
29%
Scouting report
Samuel Savoie is a 22-year-old left wing with Rockford IceHogs in the AHL, a Chicago Blackhawks third-round pick, 81 overall in 2022. He has 0 goals and 0 assists in 5 games, 0.00 a game, which works out to about 0 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 1.5 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. And the five best scorers around him average only 0.67 points a game. He's producing without much support, and the model bumps him up for it. Listed at 5-foot-10 and 189 pounds.
His most likely outcome is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 29% chance of becoming an NHL regular and 4% of a first-line career. If he makes it, figure about 35 points a season at his best. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner4%
- Middle-sixer10%
- Fourth-liner29%
- Tweener43%
- AHLer (most likely)94%
How he got there
1His line
0.00 P/GP
0 G, 0 A in 5 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
0 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+36%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
22.5
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#81
2022, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
35 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Rockford IceHogs | AHL | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Last season | Rockford IceHogs | AHL | 62 | 12 | 14 | 26 | 0.42 |