GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #656 overall

Ludwig Persson

Left wing, 22.9 years old, Hershey Bears (AHL), 6′0″ 185 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

18%

AHLer

Scouting report

Ludwig Persson is a 22-year-old left wing with Hershey Bears in the AHL, a Washington Capitals third-round pick, 85 overall in 2022. He has 0 goals and 1 assist in 7 games, 0.14 a game, which works out to about 5 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 185 pounds.

His most likely outcome is an AHLer, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him an 18% chance of becoming an NHL regular. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner2%
  3. Middle-sixer6%
  4. Fourth-liner18%
  5. Tweener25%
  6. AHLer (most likely)67%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.14 P/GP

    0 G, 1 A in 7 games, AHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    5 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +3%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    22.9

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    #85

    2022, read alongside his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    33 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
Last seasonHershey BearsAHL70110.14