Prospect board, #686 overall
Tomas Hamara
Defence, 22.5 years old, Belleville Senators (AHL), 6′0″ 194 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
17%
Scouting report
Tomas Hamara is a 22-year-old defenceman with Belleville Senators in the AHL, a Ottawa Senators third-round pick, 87 overall in 2022. He has 0 goals and 1 assist in 4 games, 0.25 a game, which works out to about 8 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 194 pounds.
His most likely outcome is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 17% chance of becoming an NHL regular. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- Top-pair<1%
- Second-pair<1%
- Third-pair17%
- Tweener32%
- AHLer (most likely)72%
How he got there
1His line
0.25 P/GP
0 G, 1 A in 4 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
8 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
No change
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
22.5
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#87
2022, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
20 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Belleville Senators | AHL | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.25 |
| Last season | Belleville Senators | AHL | 48 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 0.13 |