Prospect board, #158 overall
Tyson Jugnauth
Defence, 22.4 years old, Coachella Valley Firebirds (AHL), 5′11″ 183 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
45%
Scouting report
Tyson Jugnauth is a 22-year-old defenceman with Coachella Valley Firebirds in the AHL, a Seattle Kraken fourth-round pick, 100 overall in 2022. He has 0 goals and 12 assists in 7 games, 1.71 a game, which works out to about 55 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is setting up other people. His team scores 3.7 a game, one of the better offences around. Linemates like that pad a stat line, so the model takes some of his points back. Listed at 5-foot-11 and 183 pounds.
His most likely outcome is a tweener, with plenty of games behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 45% chance of becoming an NHL regular and 7% of a top-pair career. If he makes it, figure about 27 points a season at his best. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. His odds move most with next season's line, so a big jump would matter more than a repeat.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a full sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite1%
- Top-pair7%
- Second-pair19%
- Third-pair45%
- Tweener (most likely)64%
- AHLer95%+
How he got there
1His line
1.71 P/GP
0 G, 12 A in 7 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
55 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−15%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
22.4
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#100
2022, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
27 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Coachella Valley Firebirds | AHL | 7 | 0 | 12 | 12 | 1.71 |
| Last season | Coachella Valley Firebirds | AHL | 72 | 9 | 36 | 45 | 0.63 |