Prospect board, #661 overall
Marek Alscher
Defence, 22.4 years old, Charlotte Checkers (AHL), 6′3″ 206 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
16%
Scouting report
Marek Alscher is a 22-year-old defenceman with Charlotte Checkers in the AHL, a Florida Panthers third-round pick, 93 overall in 2022. He has 0 goals and 1 assist in 6 games, 0.17 a game, which works out to about 5 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. The five best scorers around him average only 0.55 points a game. He's producing without much support, and the model bumps him up for it. Listed at 6-foot-3 and 206 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 16% chance of becoming an NHL regular. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- Top-pair<1%
- Second-pair2%
- Third-pair16%
- Tweener30%
- AHLer (most likely)81%
How he got there
1His line
0.17 P/GP
0 G, 1 A in 6 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
5 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+23%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
22.4
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#93
2022, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
21 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Charlotte Checkers | AHL | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.17 |
| Last season | Charlotte Checkers | AHL | 52 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 0.21 |