Prospect board, #450 overall
Jordan Dumais
Right wing, 22.4 years old, Cleveland Monsters (AHL), 5′8″ 173 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
28%
Scouting report
Jordan Dumais is a 22-year-old right wing with Cleveland Monsters in the AHL, a Columbus Blue Jackets third-round pick, 96 overall in 2022. He has 0 goals and 1 assist in 6 games, 0.17 a game, which works out to about 5 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 4.0 a game, one of the better offences around. Linemates like that pad a stat line, so the model takes some of his points back. Listed at 5-foot-8 and 173 pounds.
His most likely outcome is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 28% chance of becoming an NHL regular. If he makes it, figure about 30 points a season at his best. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner2%
- Middle-sixer5%
- Fourth-liner28%
- Tweener37%
- AHLer (most likely)83%
How he got there
1His line
0.17 P/GP
0 G, 1 A in 6 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
5 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−14%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
22.4
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#96
2022, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
30 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Cleveland Monsters | AHL | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.17 |
| Last season | Cleveland Monsters | AHL | 46 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 0.39 |